Journal Global Epidemiology (Elsevier) publishes a new paper devoted modelling the rate of COVID-19 pandemic caused by SARS-cov-2 virus. The authors predict that the number of 1 million of confirmed patients in the world will reach the value at the turn of March and April this year. For modeling, official data from WHO reports #31 - #57 and a simple mathematical model based on exponential function were used, but excluding data from China. The study was prepared by an international team of scientists from Canada, Czech Republic, Iran, Poland (dr D. Strzałka) and Russia.
A pre-proof version of the paper is available at:
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590113320300079#!
